Friday, December 30, 2011

Nifty & Rupee Overview for 30th Dec 2011


Nifty: Nifty yesterday after the flat opening at 4706 failed to trade above 4725 and on lower side after crossing the level of 4680 it tested the days low at 4663 and closing was also seen near the lower level of 4669. Today as the Asian market is trading positive and as the international market there is low volume just before the year and closure of the books we expect nifty to trading in the range where higher side resistance is seen at 4720 and lower side support is expected at 4660 level. On lower side if sustain trading is seen below 4660 will open the door for 4400 to 4200 in near term, whereas on higher side resistance is seen at 4775 on closing basis. It’s not expected to cross the higher resistance of 4800 and till the time its holding the same selling at rise is advisable, where in medium term 4350 is the target which is 100% expansion of a - b from point c and can also test 3900 which comes to 161.8% in medium term. Stochastic has just nearing the overbought zone and if the resistance is taken at 4800 will turn negative and will move back to lower zone.


USD/INR: Rupee yesterday closing was seen positive at the level of 53.68 where it tested the higher level of 53.8 and short profit booking at high was seen. Today opening was seen negative around 53.6 per$ where some positive move is expected where on lower side support is seen at 53.5 per$ and on higher side immediate resistance is seen at 54 per$ where till the time support of 53.5 holds buying at dips is advise around 53.6 per$ and will test 54 and above 54 per$ will further move to 54.4 in near term. In short term trading range bound to upside move is expected where it will move slowly to test 54 again and 54.5 in medium terms and long term target of 58 cannot be denied where buying at dips is advice in medium term for positional traders. Stochastic which has given positive intersection near lower zone which indicates price will rise side way to upside and higher target can be tested soon.

NIFTY CALL 30TH DEC

NIfty is forming Bear Flag Pattern in 30 min chart and as per the pattern rule it has also tested the trend line at 4700 and if the resistance of 4700 is holding on closing basis in 30 min chart tgt is 4600 for sure .. and further below 4600 may test 161.8% retrecement of 4540 also.. trading above 4725 will disqualify the pattern

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

China to ban unauthorized gold exchanges

China's central bank has ordered all gold HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- China's central bank has ordered all gold exchanges, apart from the official exchange in Shanghai, to cease operations, according to a statement Tuesday. Unauthorized gold exchanges and related trading platforms have sprung up around the country as bullion prices soared, often operated by institutions or individuals, according to the state-run Xinhua news agency, which cited a statement posted on the People's Bank of China website. The statement cited inadequate management, irregular activities and evidence of illegal activity as risks that were behind its decision to impose the ban. The Pboc reportedly said it plans to work with the Shanghai Gold Exchange and the Shanghai Futures Exchange to help foster the development of the nation's gold market.

Friday, December 23, 2011

Short term trading calls on Billions Metals and Crude

Crude MCX Sell @ 5275 stop @ 5305 target 5220 - 5150 - 5050 level soon in coming days,,,
Brent Crude Sell @ 107.8 stop @ 108.2 tgt 107 - 106 - 104

Gold Sell @ 1610 $ stop @ 1616 tgt 1600 - 1585 - 1655 level soon....
Gold MCX Sell @ 27770 Strop @ 27860 tgt 27550 - 27350 - 27100 level soon...

Copper MCX Sell @ 405 stop @ 407 tgt 395 - 385 - 370
LME Copper Sell @ 7580 Stop @ 7650 tgt 7400 - 7100 - 6800

Silver Sell @ 29.35$ stop @ 29.5 $ tgt 28.84 - 28.2$ - 27.5$
Silver MCX Sell @ 53200 Stop @ 53800 tgt 52200 - 50500 - 49000

Nifty & Rupee Overview for 23rd Dec 2011


Nifty: Nifty yesterday after the negative opening at 4671 failed to cross the lower support of 4630 and on the higher side it tested the level of 4755 where the closing was also seen at days high. Today as the Asian market is trading positive it’s expected that Nifty will open gap up where this recent rise from the lower level of 4536 will only be the retracement of the fall from the higher level of 5131 to 4536 which is 38.2% of the fall, and if the resistance of 4765 is holding on closing basis I expect it to test the level of 4680 and 4550 before expiry. On lower side if sustain trading is seen below 4720 will open the door for 4550 to 4200 in medium term, whereas on higher side resistance is seen at 4780. Its not expected to cross the higher resistance of 4800 and till the time its holding the same selling at rise is advisable, where in near term 4350 is the target which is 100% expansion of a- b from point c and can also test 3900 which comes to 161.8% in medium term. Stochastic are trading in the mid zone where its still showing upside move where if the price cross 4800 will enter in over bought zone where as if support is broken will become side way for further confirmation of trend.


USD/INR: Rupee yesterday after the gap up opening at 52.92 failed to trade above 53 and on lower side it tested the level of 52.66 where most of the trading was range bound and closing was seen near 52.77 levels. Today opening was seen sideway around 52.71 per$ where some range bound move is expected where on higher side resistance is seen at 523 per$ and on lower side support is seen at 52.55 per$ where is the support of 52.5 holds buying at dips is advise and will test 52.9 and above 53 will move to 53.4 in near term. In short term trading range bound to upside move is expected where it will move slowly to test 54 again and 54.5 in medium terms where buying at dips is advice in medium term for positional traders. Stochastic are nearing the oversold zone and is showing sign of positive intersection where if the price move above 52.8 will give positive intersection and will move towards higher zone where some buying may be seen for higher level.

nifty call for the day

Rajeev: Nifty Sell @ 4762 TGT 4745 4725 4705 Stop Loss 4775 CMP 4762 12/23/2011 9:26

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Forex Evening call EURUSD & GBPUSD

Evening Call ::::

Rajeev: EURUSD Sell @ 1.3065 TGT 1.3025 1.2980 1.2930 Stop Loss 1.309 CMP 1.3065 12/22/2011 18:06

Rajeev: GBPUSD Sell @ 1.5695 TGT 1.5660 1.5620 1.5560 Stop Loss 1.573 CMP 1.5695 12/22/2011 18:06