Monday, January 6, 2014

Yearly Report 2014 Dollar Index, USDINR, De30

US $ Positional report

Flag Bullish Chart Pattern
Implication:          A Flag (Bullish) is considered a bullish signal, indicating that the current uptrend may continue.
Description:          A Flag (Bullish) follows a steep, or nearly vertical rise in price, and consists of two parallel trendlines that form a rectangular flag shape. The Flag can be horizontal (as though the wind is blowing it), however it often has a slight downtrend. The vertical uptrend, that precedes a Flag, may occur because of buyers' reactions to a favorable company earnings announcement, or a new product launch. The sharp price increase is sometimes referred to as the "flagpole" or "mast".
The rectangular flag shape is the product of what technical analysts refer to as consolidation. Consolidation occurs when the price seems to bounce between an upper and lower price limit. This might occur, for example, in the days following a positive product announcement, when the excitement is starting to subside, and fewer buyers are willing to pay the high price that was commanded just a few days before. But, at the same time, sellers are unwilling to sell below a lower support limit.
A bullish signal occurs when the price rebounds beyond the upper trendline of the Flag formation, and continues the original upward price movement. This is considered a pattern confirmation.
Trading Considerations:   
Possibility of Price Reversal:            In some rare cases, the price will break against the original price movement, and create a reversal trend. The pattern reversal may be signaled during the Flag formation by a sharp increase in volume, as opposed to the more typical decrease.
Target Price:         It is commonly held that the length of the flagpole indicates the potential price increase. When the Flag completes, the price typically jumps to replicate the height of the original flagpole, while continuing in the direction of the inbound trend.

Expected Target:                Dollar Index is trading near the support level of 79 and is showing sign of reversal and till the time this support is holding I feel it will cross the level of 81 and test the level of 85 which is higher trend line and crossover above 85 will confirm the upside breakout where the pattern confirmation will be seen. Bull Flag pattern is still in formation stage where it’s reverting from point D and expected Breakout is seen at Point E at 85 level. Pole Difference is seen at 11.4 and after the breakout at 85 my expected target comes to 90 to 96.4 levels in long term. 



USDINR Positional report



DE30 Positional 





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