WTI OIL BUY @ 104 CMP stop
@ 101 TGT 108 – 111 :- Wave III
completion
The basic pattern of the Elliott wave principle, how price
moves not in a straight line but in a series of rises and
retracements. Except for unusual circumstances, price moves in waves and not
in a straight-line run. These waves are like the tide coming in. Price advances
and recedes, advances a bit more and recedes, slowly creeping up the shore. The
outgoing tide shows the wave advance not as far as previous waves, and
withdrawing further. The motive phase is composed of three advancing waves, 1,
3, and 5 and counter trend waves 2 and 4. Following the motive wave comes the
corrective phase. It shows two receding waves, A and C, with a counter trend
wave between, B. The series, 1 through 5 and A through C can be repeated to
show how the tide comes in, or price advances up the chart. If you were to zoom
in on waves 1 and 2, you would see the same 1 through 5 and ABC combination.
You can say the same about waves 3 and 4, 5 and A, B and C (with the structure
reversed). In this manner, the cycle is fractal, meaning the closer you zoom
in, the more motive and corrective phase combinations you see. If you were to
zoom out, say look at the structure from across the room or from the other side
of your yard, the 1 through 5 and ABC combination would take shape of waves 1
and 2.
From the above
chart WTI OIL after testing the lower support at 91.75 forming Double Bottom
formation and reversal in price was seen and also have crossed the neckline at
100$ and tested the higher level of 105 from where short profit booking was
seen. Rise in price from 91.4 to 105.2 can be consider as wave I of the Elliot
wave theory and there after correction pattern tested the level of 97 in form
of wave II which was near to 61.8% retracement of wave I which was coming at
96.3, but price reverted from 97 and in showing formation of inter wave of wave
III. It in inter wave its again in (iii) wave where the expected target comes
to 108$ and after a short dip till 106$ in form of wave (iv) will again move to
test the level of 111 – 112$ where the inter wave (v) will get over with larger
wave III.
No comments:
Post a Comment