Gold Buy @ 1279 Stop @ 1230
TGT 1350 – 1425 - 1527
Gold is showing sign of Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Formation where its near the lower support level at point ‘e’ around the level of 1273$ and once this support of 1270 – 1273$ holds reversal is expected in gold where on higher side falling trend line resistance is seen at 1320 and 1350 where as crossover above the same will confirm the breakout of the pattern. If we take breakout at 1320$, Expected target as the height of the triangle comes to 1527$ on higher side. We expect small profit booking on the way to test the target of 1527$.
Generally,
a triangle pattern is considered to be a continuation or consolidation pattern.
Sometimes, however, the formation marks a reversal of a trend.
Symmetrical
triangles are generally considered neutral, ascending triangles are bullish,
and descending triangles are bearish. From a time perspective, triangles are
usually considered to be intermediate patterns. Usually, it takes longer than a
month to form a triangle. Seldom will a triangle last longer than three months.
If a triangle pattern does take longer than three months to complete, Murphy
advises that the formation will take on major trend significance.
A
symmetrical triangle pattern is relatively easy to identify. In addition,
triangle patterns can be quite reliable to trade with very low failure rates.
There is a caution concerning trading these patterns, however. As mentioned
previously, a triangle pattern can be either continuation or reversal patterns.
Typically, they are continuation patterns. To achieve the reliability for which
the triangle is well known, technical analysts advise waiting for a clear
breakout of one of the trendline defining the triangle. Volume is an important
factor to consider when determining whether a formation is a true triangle.
Typically, volume follows a reliable pattern: volume should diminish as the
price swings back and forth between an increasingly narrow range of highs and
lows. However, when breakout occurs, there should be a noticeable increase in
volume. If this volume picture is not clear, investors should be cautious
whether pattern is a true triangle.
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